Calculated Risk : Minutes later, a 90-day pause for most tariffs was announced (reducing tariffs to 10%, except China). An hour later Goldman Sachs put out a second note: Reverting to Our Previous Non-Recession Baseline.
Calculated Risk : However, they still maintained a 45% change of recession in the next 12 months. Forecasting is especially difficult with rapidly changing policy!
米・長期金利、４．４２%に上昇。
https://jp.wsj.com/market-data/quotes/bond/BX/TMUBMUSD10Y
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